Bihar Assembly elections, Bihar Election Opinion Poll, Bihar Opinion poll results 2015, Who will win in Bihar polls, Bihar Election Survey Result, Bihar Exit poll, Aaj Tak ABP News-Nielsen India Today cicero opinion/Exit poll, Chanakya ZEE News opinion/Exit poll, India TV Cvoter opinion/Exit poll, Axis APM opinion/Exit poll, Bihar Election Issues, Opinion poll results
Latest Opinion Poll that has emerged is that of ABP - Neilson which clearly Shows NDA as clear winner if the elections were to be held today. All the opinion polls have almost been released. Latest being that of ABP News, ZeeNews and Leadtech. Following are 15 polls till now which have emerged.
For Bihar Opinion Poll Results if we take a summary of all opinion poll released by all news channels then following results come up. Bihar Exit Polls would be published on 5th November Evening after all voting gets completed.
| Bihar Assembly Election Opinion Poll 2015 | |||
| Party Alliance | Summary Of last 5 Opinion Polls | ||
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 99 | ||
| BJP+LJP+HAM+RLSP | 129 | ||
| OTHERS | 15 | ||
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#BiharPolls: 45.62% total voter turnout recorded till 2 PM
- Madhubani 42.13%;
- Supaul 48.03%;
- Araria 47.79%;
- Kishanganj 46.82%;
- Purnia 49.36%
- Katihar 47.51%
- Madhepura 46.42%
- Saharsa 41.71%
- Darbhanga 44.05%
Summary of all Opinion Polls Till date for Bihar Assembly Elections 2015 (8th Oct 2015)
Bihar Assembly Election Opinion Poll 2015
| ||||||||||||
Party Alliance
| CNN IBN Axis
(Oct)
|
ABP- Neil
son (Oct)
| Info Elections Leadtech (Oct) | Zee- News (Oct) |
Times Now- C Voter (Sep)
|
Zee- News (Sep)
|
ABP-
Neil
son (Sep)
|
India Today - Cicero (Sep)
|
Leadtech- Info
election (Aug)
|
ABP-
Neil
son (Jul)
| ||
JD(U)+RJD+INC
| 137 | 109 |
| 64 |
112
|
70
|
122
|
106
|
59
|
129
| ||
BJP+LJP+HAM+RLSP
| 95 | 119 | 168 | 147 |
117
|
140
|
118
|
125
|
180
|
112
| ||
OTHERS
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 32 |
14
|
33
|
3
|
12
|
4
|
2
| ||
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| CNN-IBN-Axis Bihar pre poll survey | |
| Party wise Seat Projection ( October 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projected |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 137 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 95 |
| Others | 11 |
| ABP-Neilson Bihar pre poll survey | |
| Party wise Seat Projection ( October 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projected |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 109 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 119 |
| Others | 15 |
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ZeeNews 2nd live Bihar opinion Poll 2015
Party wise Seat Projection (5th October 2015)
| |
| Party | Seats Projected |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 64 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 147 |
| Others | 32 |
| Leadtech Bihar Online Opinion Poll (7th Oct 2015 Results) (With All Alliances Formed) | |
| Party | Seat forecast |
| NDA (BJP+LJP+HAM+RLSP) | 168 |
| (JD(U) +RJD +INC) | 73 |
| Others | 2 |
IndiaTV - C Voter 2nd live Bihar opinion Poll 2015
| |
Party
|
Seats Projected
|
JD(U)+RJD+INC
|
104 -120
|
BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM
|
109-125
|
Others
|
10-18
|
| Times Now - C Voter Latest Bihar opinion Poll 2015 (Sep 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projection |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 112 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 117 |
| Others | 14 |
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| On what basis, the people of Bihar will cast their votes this election? | |
| Political Party & Candidate | 46% |
| Development and Law & Order | 40% |
| Any other | 7% |
| ZEE News live Bihar opinion Poll (Sep 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projection |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 140 |
| JD(U)-RJD-Congress alliance | 70 |
| Others | 33 |
| ABP News- Nielsen live Bihar opinion Poll (Sep 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projection |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 122 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 118 |
| Others | 3 |
| India Today-Cicero live Bihar opinion Poll (Sep 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projection |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 106 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 125 |
| Others | 12 |
| IndiaTV - C Voter Latest Bihar opinion Poll 2015 (Sep 2015) | |
| Party | Seats Projection |
| JD(U)+RJD+INC | 116-132 |
| BJP+LJP+RLSP+HAM | 94-110 |
| Others | 13-21 |
Opinion Poll 4 - AC-Neilson Latest Bihar opinion Poll 2015 (July 2015):
Scenario : All Alliances Formed.
ABP News Opinion Poll (With All Alliances Formed)
| ||
Party
|
2015 Result Seat forecast
| Vote Share |
BJP +
|
112
| 43% |
JD(U) (RJD +INC)
|
129
| 32% |
Others
|
2
| |
Opinion Poll 3 - 30th Aug 2015 Leadtech Online Bihar Opinion Poll Result 2015 (Aug 2015)
Till 30th Aug 2015: BJP 74.7%, JD(U) 18.8%, INC 2.6%, RJD 2%, others 1.9%- 2271 People have voted choices.
| Leadtech Bihar Opinion Poll (With All Alliances Formed) | ||
| Party | 2015 Seat forecast | Vote % |
| BJP + | 180 | 73% |
| (JD(U) +RJD +INC) | 59 | 24% |
| Others | 4 | 3% |
Opinion Poll 2 - May 2015.Leadtech releases Online Bihar Opinion Poll Result 2015 (May 2015)
Leadtech Opinion Poll - As of May 2015
| |||
Party
|
2010 Result
|
2015 Result Seat forecast
|
2015 Vote %
|
| NDA+ |
90
|
154
|
63
|
JD(U)+RJD+INC
|
138
|
79
|
32
|
OTHERS
|
15
|
10
|
5
|
Opinion Poll 1 - ABP News Opinion Poll: The mood in Bihar (Apr,May)
Scenario: (BJP+LJNSP+RLSP), (JDU+RJD),INC
| ||
Party Name
|
Seats in 2010 assembly poll
|
Seat as per the opinion poll in April-May'15
|
INC
|
3
|
114
|
JD(U)
|
113
| |
RJD
|
22
| |
BJP
|
90
|
124
|
LJNSP
|
3
| |
RLSP
|
0
| |
IND and Others
|
12
|
5
|
Total
|
243
|
243
|
Opinion Poll - According to Recent Parliamentary Elections held and the voting pattern observed following are the figures:-If we look at the alliance figures of Lok Sabha Elections and see the voting percentage of Lok Sabha Elections assembly wise then following figures emerge. BJP along with its alias would get - 174/243 , INC and its alias could get - 52 , JD(U) could get - 15. Although these figures are highly unlikely but if we look at Lok sabha Elections pattern then these figures emerge.
Bihar Opinion Poll 2015 - According to Recent Parliamentary Elections 2014
| ||
Sr No
|
Party
|
No Of Seat
|
1
|
BJP+LJP+RLSP
|
(123 +39 +12 )174
|
2
|
INC+RJD+JD(U)
|
(19+33+15) 67
|
3
|
JD(U)
|
15
|
4
|
CPI
|
1
|
5
|
Other (BSP)
|
1
|
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