United Kingdom election Opinion poll

UK Election Opinion Poll, UK Opinion poll 2014 2015, Who will win in UK polls, UK Election Survey Result, UK Exit poll, Populus opinion/Exit poll, YouGov-The Sun opinion/Exit poll, Survation - Daily Mirror opinion/Exit poll, ComRes - The independent opinion/Exit poll, Lord Ashcroft opinion/Exit poll, UK CM Candidate, UK Election Issues, UK Party Wise opinion poll, UK Constituency Wise opinion poll
Opinion Poll: May2015's UK general Election forecast and how it compares 28 feb 2015
Party
|
IMPLIED BY POLLS
|
ASHCROFT SEATS
|
OVERALL PREDICTION (±2010)
|
Conservative
|
235
|
36
|
271 (-36)
|
Labour
|
213
|
58
|
271 (+13)
|
Liberal Democrat
|
9
|
16
|
25 (-32)
|
UKIP
|
2
|
2
|
4 (+4)
|
SNP
|
41
|
15
|
56 (+50)
|
Green
|
0
|
1
|
1 (0)
|
Other
|
22
|
0
|
22 (+1)
|
RESULT
|
HUNG PARLIAMENT, CON/LAB TIE
| ||
There are 650 seats in the House of Commons. A party needs to win one more than half to form a majority government. 16 of the 18 governments formed since the Second World War have been majorities. Read More..>>
The UK Polling Report Polling Average- 27 Feb 2015
Agency's Name
|
Party With Vote %
| ||||
YouGov/S Times (20/2)
|
CON 33%
|
LAB 34%
|
LDEM 8%
|
UKIP 13%
|
GRN 6%
|
Opinium/Observer (20/2)
|
CON 35%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 6%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 7%
|
Populus (22/2)
|
CON 32%
|
LAB 32%
|
LDEM 9%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 6%
|
Ashcroft (22/2)
|
CON 32%
|
LAB 36%
|
LDEM 7%
|
UKIP 11%
|
GRN 8%
|
Survation/Mirror(23/2)
|
CON 28%
|
LAB 34%
|
LDEM 10%
|
UKIP 19%
|
GRN 4%
|
ComRes/Mail (23/2)
|
CON 34%
|
LAB 32%
|
LDEM 8%
|
UKIP 13%
|
GRN 8%
|
YouGov/Sun (23/2)
|
CON 33%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 8%
|
UKIP 13%
|
GRN 7%
|
YouGov/Sun (24/2)
|
CON 35%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 6%
|
UKIP 14%
|
GRN 7%
|
YouGov/Sun (25/2)
|
CON 33%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 8%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 6%
|
YouGov/Sun (26/2)
|
CON 33%
|
LAB 34%
|
LDEM 8%
|
UKIP 13%
|
GRN 6%
|
Populus (27/2)
|
CON 31%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 9%
|
UKIP 16%
|
GRN 6%
|
Scottish, London and Constituency polls 27 Feb 2015
TNS put out a new Scottish poll this morning with topline figures for Westminster voting intention of CON 14%(-2), LAB 30%(-1), LDEM 3%(-1), SNP 46%(+5), UKIP 3%(+1) (tabs). The previous TNS poll had shown an SNP lead of only ten points, this TNS poll is far more similar to the Scottish figures being shown by other companies.
YouGov put out a new London poll earlier in the week for the Times with topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 9%, GRN 6%. This gives Labour an eight point lead in the London, but given they won the vote in London at the 2010 electon is actually a slightly smaller Con>Lab swing that in the country as a whole.
UK Election 2015: The Guardian poll projection 26 Feb 2015
Our model takes in all published constituency-level polls, UK-wide polls and polling conducted in the nations, and projects the result in each of the 650 Westminster constituencies using an adjusted average. Read More..>>
UK election 2015: YouGov poll of London opinion poll
I’m a little late with this, but just to flag up that yesterday’s Times had a new YouGov poll of London. Topline voting intentions there are CON 34%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 9%, GRN 6% . I sometimes hear a sort of London as the weathervane of the country argument, as London goes so the country goes. Read More..>>>
The UK Polling Report Polling Average since 20 feb to till 25 feb
Survey End Date
|
CON (%)
|
LAB (%)
|
LD (%)
|
UKIP (%)
|
Grn (%)
|
Con Lead
| |
YouGov/Sun
|
25-02-2015
|
33
|
33
|
8
|
15
|
6
|
0
|
YouGov/Sun
|
24-02-2015
|
35
|
33
|
6
|
14
|
7
|
2
|
YouGov/Sun
|
23-02-2015
|
33
|
33
|
8
|
13
|
7
|
0
|
ComRes/Mail
|
23-02-2015
|
34
|
32
|
8
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
Survation/Mirror
|
23-02-2015
|
28
|
34
|
10
|
19
|
4
|
-6
|
Ashcroft/
|
22-02-2015
|
32
|
36
|
7
|
11
|
8
|
-4
|
Populus/
|
22-02-2015
|
32
|
32
|
9
|
15
|
6
|
0
|
Opinium/Observer
|
20-02-2015
|
35
|
33
|
6
|
15
|
7
|
2
|
YouGov/Sunday Times
|
20-02-2015
|
33
|
34
|
8
|
13
|
6
|
-1
|
21 Feb 2015-UK Opinion Poll 2015: Latest Opinium & YouGov Polls for 2015 general election
There are only two voting intention polls in the Sunday papers – the regular weekly Opinium and YouGov polls for the Observer and Sunday Times respectively. The Opinium/Observer poll has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 33%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 15%, GRN 7%. Read More..>>>
Agency's Name
|
Party With Vote %
| ||||
YouGov/S Times (13/2/15)
|
CON 32%
|
LAB 35%
|
LDEM 7%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 7%
|
Populus (14/2/15)
|
CON 31%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 10%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 5%
|
ICM/Guardian (15/2/15)
|
CON 36%
|
LAB 32%
|
LDEM 10%
|
UKIP 9%
|
GRN 7%
|
Ashcroft (15/2/15)
|
CON 30%
|
LAB 31%
|
LDEM 9%
|
UKIP 16%
|
GRN 8%
|
TNS BMRB (16/2/15)
|
CON 28%
|
LAB 35%
|
LDEM 6%
|
UKIP 18%
|
GRN 7%
|
YouGov/Sun (16/2/15)
|
CON 32%
|
LAB 32%
|
LDEM 6%
|
UKIP 16%
|
GRN 8%
|
YouGov/Sun (17/2/15)
|
CON 33%
|
LAB 34%
|
LDEM 6%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 7%
|
YouGov/Sun (18/2/15)
|
CON 32%
|
LAB 34%
|
LDEM 8%
|
UKIP 14%
|
GRN 6%
|
YouGov/Sun (19/2/15)
|
CON 32%
|
LAB 33%
|
LDEM 9%
|
UKIP 15%
|
GRN 6%
|
Populus (19/2/15)
|
CON 31%
|
LAB 32%
|
LDEM 9%
|
UKIP 17%
|
GRN 6%
|
The UK Polling Report Polling Average since 1st feb to till 19 feb
Polls currently included in the average src:
| ||||||||
Pollster/Client
|
End Date
|
C
|
L
|
LD
|
UKIP
|
GRN
|
Lead
|
Weighting
|
Populus/
|
19-02-2015
|
31
|
32
|
9
|
17
|
6
|
Lab +1
|
0.95
|
YouGov/Sun
|
19-02-2015
|
32
|
33
|
9
|
15
|
6
|
Lab +1
|
0.97
|
YouGov/Sun
|
18-02-2015
|
32
|
34
|
8
|
14
|
6
|
Lab +2
|
0.7
|
YouGov/Sun
|
17-02-2015
|
33
|
34
|
6
|
15
|
7
|
Lab +1
|
0.45
|
YouGov/Sun
|
16-02-2015
|
32
|
32
|
6
|
16
|
8
|
Tied
|
0.23
|
TNS BMRB/
|
16-02-2015
|
28
|
35
|
6
|
18
|
7
|
Lab +7
|
0.69
|
Ashcroft/
|
15-02-2015
|
30
|
31
|
9
|
16
|
8
|
Lab +1
|
0.65
|
ICM/Guardian
|
15-02-2015
|
36
|
32
|
10
|
9
|
7
|
Con +4
|
0.77
|
Populus/
|
14-02-2015
|
31
|
33
|
10
|
15
|
5
|
Lab +2
|
0.54
|
YouGov/Sunday Times
|
13-02-2015
|
32
|
35
|
7
|
15
|
7
|
Lab +3
|
0.03
|
Populus/
|
12-02-2015
|
31
|
34
|
9
|
14
|
6
|
Lab +3
|
0.32
|
ComRes/Independent on Sunday (O)
|
12-02-2015
|
32
|
34
|
7
|
16
|
4
|
Lab +2
|
0.62
|
Opinium/Observer
|
12-02-2015
|
33
|
35
|
8
|
14
|
6
|
Lab +2
|
0.3
|
Ipsos-MORI/Evening Standard
|
10-02-2015
|
34
|
36
|
6
|
9
|
7
|
Lab +2
|
0.26
|
Populus/
|
08-02-2015
|
33
|
34
|
8
|
15
|
4
|
Lab +1
|
0.12
|
Ashcroft/
|
08-02-2015
|
34
|
31
|
9
|
14
|
6
|
Con +3
|
0.28
|
Opinium/Observer
|
06-02-2015
|
32
|
34
|
7
|
15
|
8
|
Lab +2
|
0.12
|
Populus/
|
05-02-2015
|
31
|
34
|
8
|
16
|
5
|
Lab +3
|
0.01
|
TNS BMRB/
|
02-02-2015
|
27
|
33
|
6
|
18
|
8
|
Lab +6
|
0.09
|
Ashcroft/
|
01-02-2015
|
31
|
31
|
8
|
15
|
9
|
Tied
|
0.04
|
19 Feb 2015: General Election 2015: Ashcroft poll puts Ukip 'within striking distance' in marginal seats
| Lord Ashcroft Opinion Polls | ||||||
Change Since 2010 %
|
CON
|
Lab
|
Lib Dem
|
UKIP
|
Green
|
Other
|
Boston & Skegness
|
39
|
17
|
5
|
35
|
3
|
1
|
Castle Point
|
39
|
18
|
3
|
37
|
1
|
2
|
North East Cambridgeshire
|
41
|
19
|
7
|
27
|
5
|
2
|
South Basildon & East Thurrock
|
34
|
28
|
4
|
28
|
4
|
2
|
17th Feb 2015: Support for the Conservatives has surged in the past month, according to a Guardian/ICM opinion poll that puts the party four points ahead of Labour. With just 80 days to go before the general election, the Tories are up six points since last month – their strongest showing in the Guardian’s ICM poll since May 2012 and only one point down on their 2010 general election result. Labour’s support fell by one point to 32%. The Liberal Democrats were also down a point, on 10%.But as the Tories recovered, the smaller parties registered bigger losses. Ukip sank two, to just 9%, as did the Greens, who ended up on 7%, after their record showing last month. (source: thegaurdian.com)
12 Feb 2015: UK election Opinion Poll: Scottish National Party (SNP) set to double its vote in general election, poll findsThe Scottish National party is on course to double its vote in May’s general election despite its lead over Scottish Labour narrowing, the latest poll on Westminster voting intentions shows. Read More..>>
12 Feb 2015: UK Election Opinion Poll 2015: Charts show how the SNP will hold the balance of power after the general election
As General Election fever grips Westminster there will be countless discussions on what the next government will look like, with neither Labour nor the Conservatives looking set to gain an outright majority. But the story behind the headlines is the surge in support for the Scottish National Party. Read More..>>>
4 Feb 2015: UK election 2015 Opinion Poll: Five more years for Clegg, as forecast tips Labour coalition with Lib-Dems Read More..>>
4 Feb 2014: UK election Opinion poll: Labour & Lib Dems face election bruising in Scotland, poll predicts Read More..>>
UK Election 2015: New poll shows 1 in 3 voters still unsure who to back in general election
Ed Miliband’s party are still on 34 per cent with the Tories on 33 per cent. Ukip remain on18 per cent and in third place. Read More..>>
4 Feb 2014:TNS-BMRB National opinion Poll, YouGovNational Opinion poll
National Opinion Poll (TNS-BMRB)
| |
Party
|
Vote %
|
Labour
|
31%(-5)
|
Conservative
|
30%(+1)
|
UKIP
|
19%(-)
|
GRN
|
6%(+)
|
Liberal Democrat
|
6%(-1)
|
National Opinion Poll (YouGov)
| |
Party
|
Vote %
|
Labour
|
32% (+1)
|
Conservative
|
31% (-1)
|
UKIP
|
15% (-2)
|
GRN
|
8% (+1)
|
Liberal Democrat
|
7% (+1)
|
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Throughout the present parliament, first and second place has without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party have tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland have most frequently polled fifth and have on occasions polled fourth – level with or ahead of the UK Independence Party or the Liberal Democrats. Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) are the British National Party, the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru. Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates in 2014 and 2010 are available in a second table, below.
| [hide]Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28–29 Jan | Populus | 2,020 | 34% | 35% | 10% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| 28–29 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,593 | 34% | 34% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 5% | Tied |
| 27–28 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,548 | 33% | 33% | 6% | 16% | 7% | 5% | Tied |
| 26–27 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,655 | 34% | 33% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 1% |
| 25–26 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,656 | 34% | 33% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 1% |
| 25 Jan | Survation/Daily Mirror | 1,014 | 31% | 30% | 7% | 23% | 3% | 6% | 1% |
| 23–25 Jan | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 31% | 30% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 7% | 1% |
| 23–25 Jan | Populus | 2,039 | 34% | 35% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| 22–25 Jan | Lord Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 32% | 6% | 15% | 9% | 6% | Tied |
| 22–23 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,578 | 32% | 32% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 6% | Tied |
| 21–22 Jan | Populus | 2,049 | 32% | 36% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| 21–22 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,640 | 31% | 33% | 7% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| 20–21 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,645 | 33% | 34% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| 19–20 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,570 | 32% | 30% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| 18–19 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,747 | 32% | 32% | 8% | 15% | 7% | 6% | Tied |
| 16–19 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 30% | 33% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| 15–19 Jan | TNS | 1,188 | 31% | 31% | 8% | 16% | 7% | 7% | Tied |
| 16–18 Jan | Lord Ashcroft | 1,004 | 29% | 28% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 1% |
| 16–18 Jan | Populus | 2,036 | 35% | 36% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 4% | 1% |
| 15–16 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,647 | 31% | 32% | 7% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| 14–15 Jan | YouGov/Sun on Sunday | 1,763 | 31% | 33% | 7% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 2% |
| 14–15 Jan | ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday | 2,023 | 33% | 34% | 7% | 18% | 3% | 5% | 1% |
| 14–15 Jan | Populus | 2,070 | 32% | 35% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| 14–15 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,660 | 32% | 32% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 6% | Tied |
| 13–15 Jan | Opinium/Observer | 1,966 | 28% | 33% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| 13–14 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,834 | 32% | 34% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 2% |
| 12–13 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,782 | 32% | 33% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 1% |
| 11–13 Jan | Ipsos-MORI/The Evening Standard | 1,010 | 33% | 34% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% |
| 11–12 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,649 | 32% | 33% | 6% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 1% |
| 9–11 Jan | Lord Ashcroft | 1,002 | 34% | 28% | 8% | 16% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| 9–11 Jan | Populus | 2,056 | 32% | 37% | 10% | 13% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| 8–9 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,684 | 32% | 32% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 5% | Tied |
| 7–8 Jan | Populus | 2,046 | 33% | 34% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| 7–8 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,753 | 33% | 33% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 6% | Tied |
| 6–8 Jan | TNS | 1,201 | 28% | 35% | 6% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 7% |
| 6–7 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,707 | 32% | 33% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 1% |
| 5–6 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,769 | 33% | 33% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 5% | Tied |
| 4–5 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,728 | 31% | 34% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| 2–4 Jan | Populus | 2,046 | 34% | 36% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 2% |
| 30 Dec–2 Jan | Opinium/The Observer | 1,970 | 32% | 33% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 7% | 1% |
source: http://en.wikipedia.org
Also Read:
| Election News 2015 | List of MPs 2010 | |
| Election Schedule 2015 | How to Register Vote | List of Cabinet 2010 |
| Opinion Poll 2015 | List of Political Parties | Election Result 2010 |
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