Today's Chanakya Exit poll: Clear majority for BJP in Maharashtra, Today's Chanakya Exit poll,Clear majority for BJP in Maharashtra

Today's Chanakya Exit poll: Clear majority for BJP in Maharashtra

New Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s campaign has paid off in Maharashtra. The BJP is set to romp home with 151 seats (plus / minus 9 seats) in the 288-member assembly, as per the News24-Today’s Chankya exit polls.

The Shiv Sena is expected to finish second with 71 seats (plus / minus 9 seats). The Congress is expected to finish fourth with 27 seats (plus / minus five seats) while its former ally NCP is third with 28 seats (plus / minus five seats). MNS and others are expected to get 11 seats (plus / minus five seats).
Also Read: Full Coverage of Maharashtra Exit Poll 
If one analyses the News24-Chanakya exit poll, it's clear that if the BJP-Sena alliance had remained intact, it would have got a historic four-fifth majority in the state.

Siginficantly, the BJP's vote share is expected to be more than its combined vote share with Shiv Sena in 2009, when the two saffron outfits had  fought the elections in an alliance. BJP had a vote share of 14 per cent in 2009 and its then ally, the Sena had a vote share of 16.2 per cent. As per the exit polls, the BJP is expected to poll 31 per cent of the votes (plus/ minus 3 per cent).

Though the Sena split with the BJP, it is set to improve its vote share from 16.2 per cent in 2009 to 24 per cent (plus / minus 3 per cent) in these elections. The seats are also predicted to go up from 44 in 2009 to 71 (plus / minus 9).

The Congress, which split from its ally, the NCP, is likely to emerge as the worst sufferer.  There is not much change in its vote share of 21 per cent which it had polled in 2009 (when it fought the polls in in alliance with the NCP): it is expected to get a vote share of 20 per cent (plus / minus 3 per cent). But the number of seats are expected to go down to 27 (plus / minus 5) from 82 in 2009.

Similarly, only a marginal fall in NCP's vote share is predicted: from 16.3 per cent in 2009 to 15 per cent (plus / minus 3 per cent) in these elections. But the seats are predicted to be down from 62 in 2009 to 28 (plus / minus 5).

A significant drop is predicted in the vote share of MNS and others: from 32.5 per cent in 2009 to 10 per cent (plus / minus 3 per cent). Ditto in the number of seats: from 54 in 2009 to 11 (plus / minus 5) this year.