Lok sabha election Opinion poll
Lok sabha election Opinion poll 2014, lok Sabha opinion poll projections by different news channels and agencies, Recent updated opinion poll , ABP news-Nielsen Opinion poll, Times NOW-C Voter opinion poll projection, India today group projected mood of the nation for upcoming lok sabha poll 2014, IBN Live opinion poll prediction.
NDTV Opinion Poll Projection- April 2014
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All India Forecast (543 Seats)
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Alliances
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seats
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Change
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*BJP+
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275
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226
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*Cong+
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111
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92
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BJP Projected to win 214 seats/ Cong projected to win 92 seats
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The largest parties after BJP and Congress would be Trinamool with 30 seats, AIADMK with 22, SP with 14 and BJD with 13. DMK, with its allies, is likely to win 14 seats and the Left 22.
AAP is projected to win just one seat in Delhi and none elsewhere, at least in the states for which details were available, which included all those with seven seats or more. (Know the Complete Covrage here )
NDTV Opinion Poll Projection
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All India Forecast (543 Seats)
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Alliances
|
seats
|
Change
|
Votes
|
*BJP+
|
259
|
118
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32.90%
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*Cong+
|
123
|
108
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26.90%
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Others
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161
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10
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40.20%
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BJP Projected to win 214 seats/ Cong projected to win 104 seats
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Times NOW-C Voter national poll projection
Bharatiya Janata Party will emerge as the front-runner in the upcoming general election, according to the Times NOW-C Voter national poll projection.The latest pre-poll survey predicts a big surge for BJP from the last election, taking the seat count for the National Democratic Alliance that it leads to 227, just 55 short of a simple majority. That compares with 159 Lok Sabha seats for NDA in 2009. The findings are in line with those of recent opinion polls.
Lok Sabha opinion Poll 2014
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Parties/Front
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Election 2009
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Feb forecast 2014
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Seats
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Vote Share
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Seats
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Vote Share
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UPA
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259
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36
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101
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22
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NDA
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159
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26
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227
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36
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Others
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125
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38
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215
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42
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Four months ahead of Lok Sabha poll, ABP news-Nielsen Opinion poll predicts a massive gain for BJP-led NDA and a disastrous rout for the Congress-led UPA.
The survey says that NDA, of which Narendra Modi is the Prime Ministerial candidate, would get 226 seats (BJP alone would get 210 seats) while the Congress-led UPA would end up with mere 101 seats in the Lok Sabha election, which is due to be held by the mid of the year. Left parties would get 30 while 186 seats would go to others.
ABP Nielsen Survey
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Parties
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Seats projection
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Percentage
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NDA
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226
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31%
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UPA
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101
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23%
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Others
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186
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41%
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Left
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30
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5%
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India Today Group Mood of the Nation poll
The opinion poll gives the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) only around 100 seats, down by over 150 seats in the current Lok Sabha. It also underlines the significance of a possible Third Front in the forthcoming Lok Sabha election as the non-UPA, non-NDA parties and Independents are expected to win 220-odd seats.
National projection: (IBNLive)
National Parties(Allies):
Projected seats in Lok sabha poll 2014
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Projected Seats for BJP+( NDA)
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Projected Seats for Congress+( UPA)
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(BJP + Shiv Sena + Shiromani Akali Dal) - 211-231
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(Congress + NCP + Kerala allies + JMM) - 107-127
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BJP: 192-210
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Congress : 92-108
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BJP Allies: 13-19
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Congress Allies : 13-21
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Projected Seat for Regional Parties & Others (Left Front/Third Front/State Parties) Loksabha Poll 2014:
Projected Seat for Regional Parties & Others (Left Front/Third Front/State Parties) Loksabha Poll 2014:
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Party
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Projected Seats
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Trinamool Congress (TMC)
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20-28 Loksabha Seats
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YSR Congress Party
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11-19 Loksabha Seats
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Biju Janata Dal (BJD)
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10-16 Loksabha Seats
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Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)
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10-16 Loksabha Seats
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All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK)
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15-23 Loksabha Seats
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Left Front
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15-23 Loksabha Seats
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Telugu Desam Party (TDP)
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9-15 Loksabha Seats
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Samajwadi Party (SP)
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8-14 Loksabha Seats
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Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)
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7-13 Loksabha Seats
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Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)
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6-12 Loksabha Seats
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Janata Dal United (JDU)
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7-13 Loksabha Seats
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Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)
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6-10 Loksabha Seats
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Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS)
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4-8 Loksabha Seats
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Janata Dal Secular (JDS)
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4-8 Loksabha Seats
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CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS National Election Tracker Lok Sabha 2014
Assumptions: According to the findings overall 27 per cent respondents have answered that they vote for the Congress while 34 per cent people want to vote for the BJP.
The UPA allies have just 1 per cent backing and BJP allies have just 2 per cent backing nationally. The BSP 3 per cent, Left Front 4 per cent, Samajwadi Party 3 per cent, AAP 4 per cent and others have 22 per cent backing respectively.
While the BJP has gained 7 per cent votes in the last six months, the Congress has lost 1 per cent.
If the elections are held in January 2014, the UPA is expected get 28 per cent, NDA is expected to get 36 per cent and others are expected to get 36 per cent votes respectively.
The UPA allies have just 1 per cent backing and BJP allies have just 2 per cent backing nationally. The BSP 3 per cent, Left Front 4 per cent, Samajwadi Party 3 per cent, AAP 4 per cent and others have 22 per cent backing respectively.
While the BJP has gained 7 per cent votes in the last six months, the Congress has lost 1 per cent.
If the elections are held in January 2014, the UPA is expected get 28 per cent, NDA is expected to get 36 per cent and others are expected to get 36 per cent votes respectively.
As per geographical constituencies lies in different directions of Country:
Elaborate Survey as per geographical constituencies,lies in North-South-East-West India: (Source: ABP-Nielsen)
In 151 constituencies of North India, the NDA would win 82 seats, UPA 25 while 44 seats would go to others, if the election is held today, the Opinion poll says.
| Northern India (151) | |
| NDA | 82 |
| UPA | 25 |
| Left | 0 |
| Others | 44 |
According to the projection for 134 Lok Sabha seats of South India, the NDA would get 19 seats, UPA 26, Left 13 and 76 seats for others, if the election was conducted today.
| Southern India (134) | |
| NDA | 19 |
| UPA | 26 |
| Left | 13 |
| Others | 76(24 for AIADMK) |
In 116 constituencies of Western Indian, the NDA is predicted to get 82 seats while Congress-led UPA would end up with mere 28. Six seats would go to others, the survey says.
| Western India (116) | |
| NDA | 82 |
| UPA | 28 |
| Left | 0 |
| Others | 6 |
Of 142 seats of East India, NDA would win 43 seats, UPA 22, Left 17 and 60 seats would go to Others, the survey says.
| Eastern India (142) | |
| NDA | 43 |
| UPA | 22 |
| Left | 17 |
| Others | 60 |
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